Projects

  1. Mar 2026 to present

    Independent Economic Research

    Working models, simulations, and instruments built to test how technology moves through an economy, and where the price of judgment is heading.

    Now The AI Economic Viability Frontier A live index tracking the scalable diffusion of transformational AI through the economy. Three hundred real tasks across forty-eight domains, each priced against its human market rate and against live model API costs, with reliability priors anchored to published evidence. The frontier recomputes as the assumptions change, so the question "what does AI do economically, today?" gets a number instead of a mood.
    Recent Priors Prediction Market Research Prediction market economics. Paste a Polymarket or Kalshi link and get a sourced research brief, with headline narratives checked against primary data: weather stations, options-implied probabilities, fed funds futures, model usage rankings. Its track record is scored in public. EventHorizon Building AI agents that trade prediction market event contracts. Learning by doing.
    World Digital Currency Simulation A multi-country macroeconomic simulation testing whether a universal digital currency, modeled across three architectures (fixed-supply algorithmic, programmatic, and reserve-backed), is an economically sound foundation for global trade. Grounded in OCA theory, the Mundell-Fleming trilemma, Eaton-Kortum trade gravity, and Fisher debt-deflation dynamics. The simulation surfaces a structural asymmetry: a global digital currency satisfies the capital mobility criterion at maximum strength while eliminating the lender of last resort, making banking panics terminal rather than smoothable, and shows that the initial distribution of holdings, not the monetary architecture, dominates distributional outcomes.
    Blockchain Simulation An interactive, browser-based simulation of a minimal blockchain and DeFi stack. Models proof-of-work mining, P2P wallet transactions, a Uniswap-style AMM liquidity pool, and an Aave-style lending protocol. Computes the Gini coefficient across wallet balances after each run to explore whether decentralized finance distributes wealth or simply recreates concentration on new rails.
    The Utilitarian Universe A computational framework for stress-testing utilitarian ethics at cosmic scale. Models welfare across humans, animals, hypothetical AGI, and aliens using four aggregation methods: total, average, prioritarian, and critical level. Incorporates ten economic refinements including Ramsey discounting, CRRA utility, endogenous population dynamics, policy budget constraints, Gini-adjusted inequality, and resource-grounded critical levels derived from Blackorby-Donaldson.
    The Drywall Principle An interactive model and visualizer illustrating Marc Andreessen's point during an a16z podcast: technology-exposed goods get exponentially cheaper and better while technology-sheltered services get more expensive and worse over time.
    NeoClassical Technology Evolution Model An interactive economic model and visualizer illustrating how costs decline as technology and quality improve over time, grounded in neoclassical growth theory.
  2. 2026

    Theseus Codex (project materialized into Theseus Labs)

    An organization of ambitious thinkers from the University of Chicago built around the premise that intellectual capital is recorded judgment that can survive criticism, guide action, and compound across decisions. The Codex is a systematic archive of deliberation: it preserves arguments, surfaces assumptions, and tracks the history of how convictions form. Rather than keeping serious thinking private, Theseus subjects its conclusions to scrutiny and converts validated judgments into investment theses, using prediction markets and public equities as an epistemic test of whether ideas hold under real-world consequences. Organized around three axioms: Progress, Rigor, and Camaraderie.

  3. 2022

    SB 1054 Financial Literacy Act

    Ideated and developed curriculum, then coordinated with state senators to pass Florida legislation making financial literacy a graduation requirement in public schools. The bill passed unanimously in March 2022 and carries one of the largest state budgets dedicated to financial education of its kind.